Polymarket Trader

roghop

0x4f7ca4db885988547abbba3ddffa4ecb1a35d582

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.28K
Realized PnL: $1.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.79K
Potential profit: $56.79K
User PnL: -$249.63

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.79K
Potential profit: $40.79K
User PnL: -$657.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.34K
Potential profit: $13.34K
User PnL: -$288.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.26K
Potential profit: $8.26K
User PnL: -$639.38

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.83K
Potential profit: $7.83K
User PnL: -$3.6K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $6.36K
User PnL: -$44.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.72K
Potential profit: $5.72K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $4.47K
User PnL: -$86.38

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$19.63

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$148.09

Yes position

Will Solana reach $120 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$60.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36K
User PnL: -$68.89

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.28K
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Base airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$31.76

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$486.08

No position

Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.44
Potential profit: $288.44
User PnL: -$92.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $409.04

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.08

Yes position

Argentina wins Copa America 2024?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.54

Yes position

LayerZero airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.96

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.89

No position

LayerZero airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.49

Democratic position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.95

Yes position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.3

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.42

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Slovenia - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.63

England position

England vs. Slovakia - who will advance?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.97

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

No position

Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.83

Yes position

Will Manchester United beat Fulham?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

Yes position

Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

Ends Jul 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Spain position

Spain vs. Georgia - who will advance?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.55

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Biden drops out by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

No position

Will Trump say "Crack" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.39

No position

Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 46% 8.07 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 46% 2,269.99 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 28% 1,736 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 7.5 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 2,143.34 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 3.72 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 1,061.67 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 16.35 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 4,599.38 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Yes 99.9% 278.16 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Yes 71.9% 278.17 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Yes 17.5% 506.28 shares