Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $336
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$176.57
Polymarket Trader
0x4f807A174C9Ea1F8B6dEAe0196195630f78aBE79-1769454331321
0x4f807a174c9ea1f8b6deae0196195630f78abe79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $3.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $203.39
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$546.61
Yes position
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $46.82
- Potential payout
- $858.99
- Potential profit
- $812.18
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $55.17
- Potential payout
- $842.26
- Potential profit
- $787.09
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $51.3
- Potential payout
- $834.08
- Potential profit
- $782.78
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $38.58
- Potential payout
- $741.87
- Potential profit
- $703.29
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$61.42
No position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $628.67
- Potential profit
- $628.67
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $53.02
- Potential payout
- $378.74
- Potential profit
- $325.71
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $348.84
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $24.86
- Potential payout
- $324.95
- Potential profit
- $300.09
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$25.14
No position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $216.21
- Potential payout
- $320.31
- Potential profit
- $104.1
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$33.79
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $150.76
- Potential payout
- $292.73
- Potential profit
- $141.98
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.84
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.65
B8 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.83
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.89
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.7
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.63
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.58
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.09
DRX position
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.97
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $40.83
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.3
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.28
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.26
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $10.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No 13.2% 378.74 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes 6% 834.08 shares
- Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 15.4% 324.95 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 5.8% 858.99 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No 5.9% 842.26 shares
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No 78% 320.31 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 51.2% 292.73 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 7.4% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 7.2% 642.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 28% 1,250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 35% 1,142.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 86.2% 1,000 shares