Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Polymarket Trader
falloutmax
0x4f80a5da109252eca37ad090c0f25a2796ecc19c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.93K
- Realized PnL
- -$6.13
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $329.38
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $157.3
Yes position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $424.66
- Potential payout
- $745.15
- Potential profit
- $320.49
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $139.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes 38.2% 745.15 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 65.5% 381.89 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 69% 186.96 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 67% 92.54 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 3?No 98.1% 5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 89% 6 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 70% 30 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 69% 10 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 71% 5.27 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 68% 100 shares
- Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No 7% 71.43 shares