Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.8
Polymarket Trader
natesvision8
0x4f934fcad3ff41dc8c02bcb7b10055ebccb753eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $98.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 33-34°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?
Ends Mar 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 31 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 69 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 66 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 70% 3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 19 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 68% 125 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 75 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 75 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.6% 18 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.9% 98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 6 shares