No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $320.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Polymarket Trader
molgeri
0x4fa7187d812c4fe49376284ae404436dd627ad18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $729.8
- Realized PnL
- $560.59
- Win rate
- 95.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $169
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.89
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.38
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.21
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.13
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.57
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $10.59
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?No 94.2% 50 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 83% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 95% 200 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 83% 29.41 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 99.8% 523.55 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 83% 138.55 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 79% 135.13 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 78% 385 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?No 99.8% 276.67 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?No 89% 100 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 65% 230.77 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 166.61 shares