Polymarket Trader

chatgpt.com

0x4fadc974fb701b133055866022c89c5e0f7a1480

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.77K
Realized PnL: $4.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $258.37
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $124.38

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $610.83
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$169.28

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $360.63

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$64.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $945
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $180

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$409.99

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.96
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $61
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $159

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.3
Potential profit: $509.3
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.44
Potential profit: $456.44
User PnL: -$6.95

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $241.13
Potential payout: $243.69
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $16.73

Yes position

Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.25
Potential profit: $218.25
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.82
Potential profit: $205.82
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $156.29
Potential payout: $166.26
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $18.95

Yes position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.54
Potential payout: $100.2
Potential profit: $82.67
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$59.62

Yes position

Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Kevin Porter win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Michael Porter Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Nikola Jovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Derrick White win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Keyonte George win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Kyle Filipowski win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.64

Yes position

Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.76

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $404.35

Yes position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $325.43

Yes position

Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.02

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $259.55

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.71

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.26

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx Cup?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.7

No position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.05

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.71

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.36

Yes position

China-Vietnam trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

Yes position

Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.96

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.33

No position

Will Elon say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.69

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.77

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.07

Yes position

US military action on Yemen before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.19

Yes position

Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.14

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.92

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?

Yes 16% 625 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Up 66.2% 151.02 shares
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 3.5% 13 shares
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-12-07?

Yes 59% 5 shares
Will SC Recife vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Yes 23% 10 shares
Will SC Recife win on 2025-12-07?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in November 2025?

No 99.9% 5.09 shares
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?

Yes 99.9% 20.05 shares
Will Amazon dip to $216 in November?

Yes 99.9% 50.09 shares
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?

No 99.9% 20.14 shares
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

No 98.1% 50.2 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 252.41 shares