USERgm

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $241.75
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $967.02
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $902.86
Potential payout: $911.06
Potential profit: $8.2
User PnL: $32.67

Yes position

Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $729.41
Potential payout: $744.67
Potential profit: $15.27
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$10.59

No position

Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $217.33
Potential payout: $321.97
Potential profit: $104.64
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $44.78

No position

Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $264.78
Potential payout: $287.8
Potential profit: $23.02
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.59

No position

Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $96.57
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $183.43
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$132.47

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $205.93
Potential payout: $211.65
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $143.2
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$10.4

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.93
Potential profit: $129.93
User PnL: -$70.04

No position

Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $115.94
Potential payout: $116.41
Potential profit: $0.47
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $106.24
Potential payout: $111.25
Potential profit: $5.01
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.61

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will José Ignacio García be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100.1
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $17.72
Potential payout: $77.06
Potential profit: $59.34
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $5.92

No position

Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $73.14
Potential payout: $73.51
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: -$0.27

Omega position

Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.01
Potential profit: $68.01
User PnL: -$26.34

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.36
Potential profit: $53.36
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.35
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $29.53
Potential payout: $44.07
Potential profit: $14.54
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $30.26
Potential payout: $30.41
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.55
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Navy Midshipmen position

Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.48

Over position

Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.4

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.91

Prairie View A&M Panthers position

Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.96

George Washington Revolutionaries position

Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.89

DetonatioN FocusMe position

LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.64

EDward Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.43

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.06

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.8

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.36

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.1

Division One position

Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.84

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.54

KRÜ Esports position

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.51

No position

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.18

Galions position

Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.46

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.06

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.83

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.54

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?