Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.32
- Potential profit
- $857.32
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
0x4fb3ceA62B2E0d9218B5480BFa66F7Ec07c8a39B-1771902458025
0x4fb3cea62b2e0d9218b5480bfa66f7ec07c8a39b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.3
- Realized PnL
- $123.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.55
- Potential profit
- $156.55
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $96
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $3
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.21
- Potential profit
- $87.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.96
- Potential profit
- $48.96
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$5.28
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.91
- Potential profit
- $40.91
- User PnL
- -$4.5
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.68
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.57
- Potential profit
- $26.57
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.52
- Potential profit
- $20.52
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $11.72
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $13.79
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $13.78
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Will Dell say "PowerStore" during earnings call?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.75
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.02
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Up position
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Yes position
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 67% 7.46 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Yes 2% 101 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 99.8% 17.1 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 76% 17.11 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 4.1% 267.85 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 5.6% 267.86 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 2.5% 80 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 46.5% 10.75 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.5% 111.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 57.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes 33.8% 19.23 shares