Polymarket Trader

Aeorth

0x4fc19373fe27bc5fc6d9058acdd48624ba95075e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.67
Realized PnL: $2.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84K
Potential profit: $4.84K
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $22.55
Potential payout: $399.09
Potential profit: $376.54
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $12.55

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Burnley FC?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.63
Potential profit: $300.63
User PnL: -$9.62

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.86
Potential profit: $242.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $236.36
Potential profit: $236.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.3
Potential profit: $199.3
User PnL: -$19.93

Wizards position

Thunder vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.1
Potential profit: $179.1
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.54
Potential profit: $156.54
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.9
Potential profit: $127.9
User PnL: -$0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.5

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.69

Yes position

Exact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Hilal Saudi Club?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.42

T1 position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.53

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Spurs

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.14

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.15

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.99

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.61

Kings position

Kings vs. Clippers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.71

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.23

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.4

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.43

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.25

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.37

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.25

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Up 35% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 64.9% 80.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 31% 80.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 51.3% 48.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Up 9% 55.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 196.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18.2% 110 shares