Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$15.29
Polymarket Trader
Fishinggoat
0x4fce5a0782b0401da11c0d525d745939f59db30d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.11
- Realized PnL
- $963.95
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- User PnL
- -$749.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$74.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$87.94
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$398.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$10.39
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $572.19
- Potential profit
- $572.19
- User PnL
- -$177.06
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.05
- Potential profit
- $510.05
- User PnL
- -$306.47
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.69
- Potential profit
- $497.69
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.98
- Potential profit
- $489.98
- User PnL
- -$29.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.02
- Potential profit
- $433.02
- User PnL
- -$151.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.05
- Potential profit
- $299.05
- User PnL
- -$69.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.38
- Potential profit
- $283.38
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$185.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.68
- Potential profit
- $229.68
- User PnL
- -$161.08
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $75.11
- Potential payout
- $218.67
- Potential profit
- $143.56
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.34
- Potential profit
- $198.34
- User PnL
- -$47.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.41
- Potential profit
- $197.41
- User PnL
- -$69.09
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$14.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.95
- Potential profit
- $158.95
- User PnL
- -$146.56
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.36
- Potential profit
- $144.36
- User PnL
- -$44.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.76
Pelosi position
Pelosi vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.23
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.72
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.42
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.17
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.75
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.77
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?No 66% 16 shares
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes 10.3% 200 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No 78% 80 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 63.6% 20 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No 78% 200 shares
- Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes 13.8% 102.76 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 30% 62.19 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 27% 60 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 62% 74.11 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 32% 270 shares
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 25% 318.92 shares
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 26% 8 shares