0x4fd591cd13d8843e9733CA05659eBEF07e6dC897-1770066819663

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.33
Potential profit: $85.33
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.95
Potential profit: $47.95
User PnL: -$24.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.78
Potential profit: $47.78
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$5.2

Shanghai Haigang FC position

Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.29
Potential profit: $44.29
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.78
Potential profit: $36.78
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.02
Potential profit: $33.02
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $31.28
Potential profit: $30.34
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $28.51
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $28.89
Potential profit: $28.66
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $25.94
Potential payout: $28.22
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $23.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $26.68
Potential profit: $22.15
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $23.67
Potential profit: $23.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $23.64
Potential profit: $21.39
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $23.64
Potential profit: $21.27
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $21.97
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $21.67
Potential profit: $20.81
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $14.15
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.37
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.19

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Down position

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET