Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Polymarket Trader
airdropper
0x4fd899f1001b62d6a8713d72878eae732f82af91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.54
- Realized PnL
- $3.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $105.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $894.5
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Y
Yes position
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $694.65
- Potential profit
- $693.61
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $306
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $137.6
- Potential profit
- $136.84
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $75.2
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $25.5
- Potential profit
- $24.61
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Y
Yes position
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Y
Yes position
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.98
No position
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $213.14
Yes position
Will Mahamudu Bawumia be the next President of Ghana?
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.05
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.98
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.59
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.77
Yes position
Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.31
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.14
Yes position
Will Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.59
Yes position
Will Jim O'Callaghan be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.19
Yes position
Jay-Z criminal charges in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.73
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $76.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.34
Yes position
Will Jimmy Butler get traded?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.31
Mexico position
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $61
Profits position
Iggy Azalea vs. Profits
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $60.72
Yes position
Diddy released from custody before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.1
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.61
Yes position
ETH flipped in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.79
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Multiplier
- 9.17x
- User PnL
- $47.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico 14% 30 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 37% 80 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?Yes 0.5% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?Yes 1.1% 399.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Yes 0.5% 250 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes 1.2% 999.98 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Over 7% 200 shares
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 0.1% 1,838.4 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes 5% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 6.6% 0.38 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes 27% 100 shares