Polymarket Trader

0x4fF19014c3BFb1Aa972f6E219B69a101F0e05c66-1771759620615

0x4ff19014c3bfb1aa972f6e219b69a101f0e05c66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $171.26
Realized PnL: $219.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $169.46
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$195.53

Yes position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.78
Potential profit: $86.78
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.33
Potential profit: $71.33
User PnL: -$9.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.86
Potential profit: $49.86
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $45.55
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 78% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 75% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Up 40% 7.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 59% 5.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Down 72% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 35% 8.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 44% 6.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Up 55% 5.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 96% 3.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Up 15% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Up 68% 4.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Up 42% 7.14 shares