Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.6
- Potential profit
- $236.6
- User PnL
- -$39.43
Polymarket Trader
0x4ffa...3e2e
0x4ffaf611a0149b5c34ecd3b30e0e2a76a7323e2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.09
- Realized PnL
- $1.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.49
- Potential profit
- $185.49
- User PnL
- -$30.91
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $182.51
- Potential profit
- $176.85
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$24.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.07
- Potential profit
- $164.07
- User PnL
- -$14.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.68
- Potential profit
- $160.68
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.94
- Potential profit
- $133.94
- User PnL
- -$12.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.52
- Potential profit
- $132.52
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.04
- Potential profit
- $128.04
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.72
- Potential profit
- $127.72
- User PnL
- -$63.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.04
- Potential profit
- $123.04
- User PnL
- -$11.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.04
- Potential profit
- $123.04
- User PnL
- -$61.52
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $122.51
- Potential profit
- $122.08
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.18
- Potential profit
- $122.18
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $120.01
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$10.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$10.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$10.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$10.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.55
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 70°F or higher on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.76
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or below on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 17?Yes 65% 0.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 17?Yes 23% 0.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?Yes 7% 1 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 17?Yes 50% 0.24 shares
- Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in June?Yes 50% 0.05 shares
- Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in June?Yes 54% 7.18 shares
- Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in June?Yes 37% 9.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 16?Yes 27% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 17?Yes 6.9% 0.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 17?Yes 6.8% 3.32 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 17?Yes 7% 6.86 shares
- Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in June?Yes 16% 9.4 shares