Polymarket Trader

idg84

0x50128c7bbd0e30b056b82a853bf33d27d19dc4d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.29
Realized PnL: $229.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909
Potential profit: $909
User PnL: -$7.27

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $646
User PnL: -$21.84

Yes position

Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $121
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.99
Potential profit: $91.99
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$7.12

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$8.14

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $17.76
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $63.38
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $52.81
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $36.99
Potential profit: $36.59
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.99
Potential profit: $36.99
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $24.82
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $15.88
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$7.04

No position

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $12.94
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.99
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.55

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.56

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

No position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?

Yes 4% 15.21 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 81.3% 12 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?

Yes 4.9% 54 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Yes 44.4% 72.44 shares
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 5.9% 110 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Yes 14% 6.44 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

Yes 6% 5 shares
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 13% 12 shares
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 12% 2 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 42% 5 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 7 shares
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 62% 2 shares