Polymarket Trader

Sunshine963

0x501867c49ae9b5ad93dc0109a0b473db1ae4398b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $4.68K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: $105.3

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $22.13
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $52.65
Potential payout: $389.97
Potential profit: $337.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $32.25
Potential payout: $379.4
Potential profit: $347.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.16

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $281.24
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $20.25

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $299.86
Potential profit: $296.71
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$62.52

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $134
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $66
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $46.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $153.9
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: -$4.1

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $89.43
Potential payout: $101.62
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.11

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $95.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.99
Potential profit: $57.99
User PnL: -$30.16

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $27.4
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36.98
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $6.64

No position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $24.23
Potential payout: $35.9
Potential profit: $11.67
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $32.69
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.98
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $29.66
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.36

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $10.24
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Yes 23.7% 100 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 270 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

No 84% 100 shares
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?

No 51% 30 shares
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?

No 91% 72.08 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

No 71.9% 30 shares
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 35.9 shares
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?

No 95% 30 shares
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 80 shares
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?

No 87% 34 shares
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?

No 93% 33 shares
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

No 57% 43.76 shares