Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $449.28
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Polymarket Trader
Bloombergg
0x501870715d934653d1ebe8b4564df87b36e96108
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.32K
- Realized PnL
- $17.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $291.67
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$708.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $202.38
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$297.62
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $148.74
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $601.19
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $475.81
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$24.19
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $550.74
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$449.26
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $164.37
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $264.97
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $465
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $535
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $989.5
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$259.5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $724.9
- Potential profit
- $724.9
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $9.96
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $6.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.32
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $644.51
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.7
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.89
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.81
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.18
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.67
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.25
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.65
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.16
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.66
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.24
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.33
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.89
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.42
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 35.6% 1,368.22 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 36.5% 1,368.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 1,612.9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 41.2% 1,666.66 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 38.5% 1,510.07 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 30% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 69% 724.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 21% 2,380.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50% 1,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 42% 1,190.48 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 73.1% 1,550.51 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes 85% 546.26 shares