Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $190.58
- Potential payout
- $127.06K
- Potential profit
- $126.86K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$645.19
Polymarket Trader
william835
0x5026f0a69e2343b506e75b6331586b1ee3fedde1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.33K
- Realized PnL
- $15.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$199.98
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.11
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.88
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $151.41
- Potential payout
- $7.39K
- Potential profit
- $7.23K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $26.42
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $849.77
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $99.78
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $959
- Potential payout
- $4.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $141.32
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $324.66
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$89.27
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $178.24
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$121.76
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $39.06
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.94
Yes position
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $927.61
- Potential profit
- $927.61
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $40.37
- Potential payout
- $734.07
- Potential profit
- $693.7
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$459.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $317
- Potential payout
- $627.71
- Potential profit
- $310.72
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $153.13
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $471.88
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$346.88
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $446.34
- Potential payout
- $544.31
- Potential profit
- $97.98
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $46.34
Yes position
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $46.51
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $418.6
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$153.49
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $161.36
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $293.18
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $190.22
- Potential payout
- $452.9
- Potential profit
- $262.68
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $40.22
No position
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.01
- Potential profit
- $440.01
- User PnL
- -$196.68
Yes position
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.73
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $530.15
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.8
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.97
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.91
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.67
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $105.78
Under position
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.24
AJ Auxerre position
Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.72
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.38
Yes position
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.03
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.81
Utah position
Jets vs. Utah
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.83
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.37
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.57
No position
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $32.11
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.78
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marquinhos score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 79% 129 shares
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsYes 47% 212.77 shares
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes 44% 227.27 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 68% 161.29 shares
- Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 72.8% 181.58 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 74.2% 134.75 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 73.4% 408.88 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 73.2% 409.56 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Yes 62% 403.23 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes 74.2% 135.86 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes 18.4% 135.87 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 13% 384.62 shares