Polymarket Trader

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

0x502b532f55778c0985846dc53a9bc71eb4f33b15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.86K
Realized PnL: $9.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $149.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $73.63

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $835.8
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$212.02

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $109.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $156
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $24

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $8.37
User PnL: $28.03

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $950
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $500
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $300
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $651.91
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $148.08
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $35.92

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $639.55
Potential payout: $706.69
Potential profit: $67.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $24.73

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $594.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: $174.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362
Potential profit: $362
User PnL: -$302.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.96
Potential profit: $227.96
User PnL: -$111.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.97
Potential profit: $183.97
User PnL: -$16.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.6
Potential profit: $168.6
User PnL: -$41.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.97
Potential profit: $154.97
User PnL: -$139.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $131
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.73
Potential profit: $128.73
User PnL: -$28.49

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.98
Potential profit: $105.98
User PnL: -$21.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.47
Potential profit: $104.47
User PnL: -$85.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.95
Potential profit: $100.95
User PnL: -$24.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.98
Potential profit: $90.98
User PnL: -$17.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.45
Potential profit: $81.45
User PnL: -$27.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.39
Potential profit: $76.39
User PnL: -$16.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12PM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.01

Yes position

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Up 98.2% 72.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Up 88% 184.09 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Down 79.8% 77.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Down 90% 180 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 8% 162 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 31% 48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 38% 65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 25% 76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Down 25% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Down 24% 15.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Down 35% 64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 99% 13 shares