Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.31K
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $790
Polymarket Trader
Barboncino
0x50396e4d9d11d38b0dcfd75280101a315f50946d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.37K
- Realized PnL
- $29.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $18.16K
- Potential profit
- $18.15K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$81.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.1%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $274
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$106.22
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$549.35
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $497.42
- Potential payout
- $595
- Potential profit
- $97.58
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $163.15
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $198.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $44.77
- Potential payout
- $124.53
- Potential profit
- $79.76
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$39.29
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $18.17
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $51.84
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.14
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $50.29
- Potential payout
- $50.64
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $19.29
No position
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $13.22
- Potential payout
- $14.66
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Club Independiente Petrolero vs. CDOriente Petrolero end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.33
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $992.22
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.6
Yes position
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.07
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.17
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.7
No position
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.73
No position
Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.38
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.31
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 24,094 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 5.5% 1,931.24 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 43.9% 1,250 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 31% 1,254.56 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 15.6% 810 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.5% 42,250.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 16.9% 6,298.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.8% 10,960.21 shares
- Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?Yes 10% 6,268.39 shares
- Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?Yes 12% 8,000 shares
- Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?Yes 11% 3,484.03 shares