Polymarket Trader

markschaefer

0x503a857bc6641339df416b03942f2913e0e25695

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.93
Realized PnL: -$5
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.72
Potential profit: $285.72
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.65
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.47
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $1.83
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Brentford wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

No 98.4% 1.83 shares
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 97.1% 2.37 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

No 96% 2.82 shares
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 98.8% 3.04 shares
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 98.8% 2.43 shares
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

Yes 98.3% 1.73 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 99.2% 2.42 shares
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

No 96.5% 2.8 shares
Will Base launch a token in 2025?

No 96.9% 1.55 shares
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

No 95% 1.58 shares
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

No 96.5% 1.25 shares