Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $70.17
- Potential payout
- $8.25K
- Potential profit
- $8.18K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $60.17
Polymarket Trader
Brodel
0x503c58a5f1a865dfc55d167ea7dae8ee34424574
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $753.83
- Realized PnL
- $2.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $35.77
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $49.77
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$69.23
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $89.89
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$110.11
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $30.61
- Potential payout
- $775
- Potential profit
- $744.39
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $255.15
- Potential payout
- $607.51
- Potential profit
- $352.36
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$8.84
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $523.06
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $24.04
- Potential payout
- $361.45
- Potential profit
- $337.41
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.96
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $39.61
- Potential payout
- $337.08
- Potential profit
- $297.47
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $217.27
- Potential profit
- $217.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $203.09
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $211.04
- Potential profit
- $210.09
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.05
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.19
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $104.76
- Potential profit
- $104.18
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $96.99
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $52.84
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $22.84
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $36.14
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.52
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $18.37
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$6.63
No position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.22
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.10x
- User PnL
- $79.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.69
Yes position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.04
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.59
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.07x
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 98.9% 138.88 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 33% 103.03 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 5.8% 608.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47% 425.53 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 89.2% 100.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38% 78.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 72% 138.89 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 98.5% 62.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 27.8% 76.92 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 52.6% 57 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 1.9% 521.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 30.3 shares