Polymarket Trader

nocturne481

0x504d3903d17b31d7680f64666b01ed49e777dae8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.1K
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $6.05
User PnL: $411.49

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $70.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $318.53

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $6.65
User PnL: $271.33

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $448.42
Potential payout: $540.26
Potential profit: $91.84
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$12.6

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.01
Potential profit: $317.01
User PnL: -$288.25

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $205.11
Potential payout: $209.94
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $73.53
Potential payout: $204.24
Potential profit: $130.71
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$87.82

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $166.58
Potential payout: $198.31
Potential profit: $31.73
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $33.68

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 60.3%
Current value: $108.4
Potential payout: $179.91
Potential profit: $71.51
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: -$37.29

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $148.9
Potential payout: $166.09
Potential profit: $17.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$6.21

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $65.41
Potential payout: $66.98
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $57.95
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.85
Potential profit: $31.85
User PnL: -$22.13

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $29.27
Potential payout: $29.67
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.62

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.38

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.33

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.54

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.65

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.43

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.08

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.75

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.87

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.56

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $24.65

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.91

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.67

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.75

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.67

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.23

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

No position

Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?

No 79% 204.24 shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in June?

No 70% 96.13 shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

No 92.8% 72.76 shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

No 92.7% 12.33 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?

No 92% 160.26 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

No 99.4% 160 shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

No 92.2% 30 shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June?

No 47% 31.05 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

No 6% 502.98 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

No 8% 176.26 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?

No 93% 9.94 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?

No 73% 50 shares