No position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$8
Polymarket Trader
spunkygood
0x505cac3be6df2f499886534e2f12a2cfbb2c919e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.31
- Realized PnL
- $101.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Will Buffett say "Charlie" or "Munger" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Ends May 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
X relaunches Vine before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Buffett say "Federal Reserve" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next Pope be Black?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Buffett say "China" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.2
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.18
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Pistons
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Rockets position
Warriors vs. Rockets
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Penn State position
Penn State vs. Wisconsin
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Clippers position
Nuggets vs. Clippers
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say Gaza during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Oilers position
Kings vs. Oilers
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Senators
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Twolves position
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Islanders position
Canadiens vs. Islanders
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Blues position
Canucks vs. Blues
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Jazz position
Wizards vs. Jazz
Ends Mar 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?No 18% 5.56 shares
- Maple Leafs vs. SenatorsMaple Leafs 48% 2.08 shares
- Ethereum above $1,800 on May 2?No 56% 1.79 shares
- Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?No 97.4% 1.21 shares
- Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No 98.7% 1.11 shares
- Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?No 64% 1.56 shares
- Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?No 47% 4.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?No 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?Yes 11% 11.11 shares
- Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?Yes 18% 5.56 shares