Delamain

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Derek Cianfrance win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.94
Potential profit: $232.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Benny Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.53
Potential profit: $232.53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kathryn Bigelow win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.77
Potential profit: $207.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.39
Potential profit: $203.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.44
Potential profit: $201.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.58
Potential profit: $192.58
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.33
Potential profit: $165.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.98
Potential profit: $131.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.79
Potential profit: $77.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.89
Potential profit: $57.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.32
Potential profit: $35.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.8%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $21.66
Multiplier: 3.60x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Yorgos Lanthimos win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.8
Potential profit: $25.8
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.42

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10AM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

No position

Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Darts Championship?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4PM ET