Polymarket Trader

a4385

0x506bce138df20695c03cd5a59a937499fb00b0fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.28K
Realized PnL: $292.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.74K
Potential profit: $221.74K
User PnL: -$10.94K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $38K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26K
Potential profit: $26K
User PnL: -$197.65

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.75K
Potential profit: $17.75K
User PnL: -$1.88K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.19K
Potential profit: $14.19K
User PnL: -$5.11K

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.96K
Potential profit: $11.96K
User PnL: -$73.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.54K
Potential profit: $6.54K
User PnL: -$4.88K

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $6.4K
User PnL: -$2.58K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $18.85
User PnL: $19.79

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.22K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.46K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.16K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.18K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48K

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 19.5% 2,643.92 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 5% 1,600 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.6% 3,000 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.3% 1,200 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2% 1,999.99 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

No 72% 3,500 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 45% 400 shares
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 28% 65.67 shares
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 12.1% 50 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 40% 1,000 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 39% 1,000 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 39% 1,000 shares