Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $192.71
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$948.82
Polymarket Trader
truthbeautyjustice
0x506f3851ab75685ea3622bf4dd9d28cacadfe8bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.37K
- Realized PnL
- $9.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $26.13
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$309.08
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $117.6
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $47.09
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$353.4
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $15.96
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$113.41
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $940.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $219.82
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $80.58
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $97.85
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $932.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$30.65
No position
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $418.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $481.5
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$128.5
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $839.99
- Potential profit
- $839.99
- User PnL
- -$174.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $209.1
- Potential payout
- $819.98
- Potential profit
- $610.89
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$98.89
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $110.56
- Potential payout
- $809.99
- Potential profit
- $699.43
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $799.99
- User PnL
- -$206.99
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $799.98
- User PnL
- -$81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $791.62
- Potential profit
- $791.62
- User PnL
- -$100.87
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $747.54
- Potential profit
- $747.54
- User PnL
- -$554.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $30.24
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $599.76
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$9.16
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $76.56
- Potential payout
- $610
- Potential profit
- $533.44
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $569.97
- Potential profit
- $569.97
- User PnL
- -$33.29
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.1%
- Current value
- $319.26
- Potential payout
- $549.98
- Potential profit
- $230.71
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Current value
- $327.98
- Potential payout
- $526.03
- Potential profit
- $198.05
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$105.7
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $94.1
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $415.91
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $11.98
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $346.14
- Potential payout
- $498.12
- Potential profit
- $151.98
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.42
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.12
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.9
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.51
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $396.01
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.98
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.7
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $276.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.19
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.49
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.85
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $237.99
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $237.84
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $228.02
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.88
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.9% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 20 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 16 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?Yes 10.4% 300 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?Yes 10.5% 80 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?Yes 11% 99.15 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 57% 62 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 68% 10 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 49% 337.5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 60.4% 700 shares