Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.5K
- Potential profit
- $16.5K
- User PnL
- -$33
Polymarket Trader
MFS-000
0x50733d0627e4763d7d7e81a69abc345edf6416a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $929.13
- Realized PnL
- $3.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$131.64
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $35.56
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $679.11
- Potential profit
- $679.11
- User PnL
- -$97.78
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $17.22
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $632.78
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $97.54
- Potential payout
- $500.19
- Potential profit
- $402.65
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$42.23
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $437.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.46
- Potential profit
- $405.46
- User PnL
- -$113.19
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $17.98
- Potential payout
- $382.61
- Potential profit
- $364.63
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $345.5
- Potential profit
- $338.42
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $66.92
- Potential payout
- $290.34
- Potential profit
- $223.42
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- $41.44
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $116.27
- Potential payout
- $237.28
- Potential profit
- $121.01
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $14.03
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.6
- Potential profit
- $212.6
- User PnL
- -$25.39
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $191.96
- Potential profit
- $191.29
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.99
- Potential profit
- $189.99
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.3%
- Current value
- $47.07
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $125.34
- Multiplier
- 3.66x
- User PnL
- $11.23
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $68.17
- Potential payout
- $168.31
- Potential profit
- $100.14
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$34.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.95
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.98
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.06
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.47
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $131.69
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.94
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.95
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $109.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.28
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.29
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.67
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.51
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $62.87
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.45
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.22
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 38% 43 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 37% 46 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 35% 10.76 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 29% 14 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Yes 1.5% 225.5 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Yes 1.6% 76.46 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 20% 8 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 21% 9.8 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 26% 46 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 50% 200 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 88.5% 29 shares