Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $43.81
- Potential payout
- $796.46
- Potential profit
- $752.65
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$46.19
Polymarket Trader
tradingfusion
0x5080d70d0187aff78fb4d8609ce05e2c146169d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.68
- Realized PnL
- -$33.96
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $682.12
- Potential profit
- $682.12
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $18.74
- Potential payout
- $149.91
- Potential profit
- $131.17
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $14.13
- Potential payout
- $36.24
- Potential profit
- $22.11
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.86
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 176.99 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 619.47 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes 22% 682.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp 94% 53.19 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes 17% 569.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 98.4% 138.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.8% 23.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 1.7% 252.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Yes 2.9% 357.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Yes 7% 332.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 72% 138.89 shares