Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $33
Polymarket Trader
Rebecca-95
0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.28K
- Realized PnL
- $25.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.46K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $6.54K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $209.05
Yes position
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$66.61
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$499.35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $33.89
- Potential payout
- $789.99
- Potential profit
- $756.1
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$438.2
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $570.49
- Potential profit
- $570.49
- User PnL
- -$242.26
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $313.25
- Potential payout
- $438.11
- Potential profit
- $124.86
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $113.36
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $32.85
- Potential payout
- $333.48
- Potential profit
- $300.63
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $13.17
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.6
- Potential profit
- $323.6
- User PnL
- -$181.64
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $12.26
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.88
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.62
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $875.07
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.02
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.36
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.92
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.32
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.3
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.57
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $581.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.31
Yes position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.69
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.4
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 32.1% 957.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 700 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 55% 90 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 29.2% 2,000 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 25.7% 500 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 57% 127 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 58% 468 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 46% 900 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 58% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 47% 409 shares
- Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Yes 5.1% 54.76 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 48% 122 shares