Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $19.57
- Potential payout
- $21.86
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Polymarket Trader
0x509e81545189a4F99A14Aad452b22958C860c825-1760712519358
0x509e81545189a4f99a14aad452b22958c860c825
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.32
- Realized PnL
- $102.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $20.81
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $20.17
- Potential payout
- $20.27
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $10.6
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.86
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Siniša Karan win the 2025 Republika Srpska presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 65% 9.12 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 2.33 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 87.7% 2.28 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 77% 2.12 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 98.4% 10.16 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 96.2% 10.4 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 98.9% 10.11 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes 93% 10.75 shares