Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.47
- Potential profit
- $312.47
- User PnL
- -$97
Polymarket Trader
BadProphet
0x50b0b5be14f256bf15c63ae78b33be7214b27dc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.17
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $231
- User PnL
- -$28.72
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.05
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- -$23.28
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $99.85
- Potential profit
- $99.3
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.13
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $14.82
- Potential payout
- $15.49
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.93
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.34
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.7
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.84
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.37
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.73
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on July 15?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 15?No 95% 15.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 15?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?No 66% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?No 97.5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?Yes 34.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 15?No 95.3% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 15?No 97.2% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 15?No 96.8% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 15?No 96% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 14?No 98% 20 shares