Ricil

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $46.64
Potential payout: $871.86
Potential profit: $825.22
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $20.87
Potential payout: $260.83
Potential profit: $239.97
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $15.85
Potential payout: $247.72
Potential profit: $231.86
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.61
Potential profit: $87.61
User PnL: -$11.92

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.1
Potential profit: $74.1
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.45
Potential profit: $69.45
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $67.81
Potential profit: $57.3
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.61
Potential profit: $59.61
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.62
Potential profit: $52.62
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $19.23
Potential payout: $50.26
Potential profit: $31.04
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.57
Potential profit: $37.57
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.43
Potential profit: $35.43
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.98
Potential profit: $25.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $24.72
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.59
Potential profit: $22.59
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.16
Potential profit: $21.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.44
Potential profit: $20.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.65

Yes position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.58

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.19

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.61

Yes position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.37

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?