Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Polymarket Trader
vincis
0x50b6c8557513140dbecd3ea6c674438312d55256
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.89
- Realized PnL
- $51.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.8%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Eternal Fire position
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Fnatic position
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
EYEBALLERS position
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 19?No 70% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 18?No 52% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 18?No 68% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?No 47% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?No 25% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 16?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 16?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 16?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?No 52% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?No 45% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?Yes 44% 5 shares