No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.83K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- User PnL
- -$3.06K
Polymarket Trader
ShunTheNonBeliever.
0x50b9e4ca59b767769cc2de13ad9fc688de1d4467
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.88K
- Realized PnL
- $10.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.29K
- Potential profit
- $9.29K
- User PnL
- -$5.24K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $5.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Anna Kalinskaya position
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- User PnL
- -$749.41
Yes position
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $32.92
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $154.16
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$17.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$535
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $193.99
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.53
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$291.77
Yes position
Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Diana Shnaider position
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$289.61
Felix Auger-Aliassime position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$516.99
Aryna Sabalenka position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.5
- Potential profit
- $840.5
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Belinda Bencic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $831
- Potential profit
- $823.52
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Scotland position
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $757.42
- Potential profit
- $757.42
- User PnL
- -$302.97
Yes position
Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $16.12
- Potential payout
- $753.43
- Potential profit
- $737.31
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $707.98
- Potential profit
- $694.88
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Zverev position
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.4
- Potential profit
- $637.4
- User PnL
- -$470
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$200
Maja Chwalinska position
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.72
- Potential profit
- $590.72
- User PnL
- -$106.33
Yes position
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $101.94
- Potential payout
- $551.03
- Potential profit
- $449.09
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.78
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.35
- Potential profit
- $550.35
- User PnL
- -$203.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $863.68
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.71
No position
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.3
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.47
Auger-Aliassime position
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.48
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.44
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.42
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.18
Under position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.04
No position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?No 82% 10 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia 45% 111.11 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Yes 30% 466.67 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia 45% 444.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 1,827.48 shares
- Spread: England (-1.5)England 99.9% 1,198.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 1,337 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 1,200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 1,200 shares
- Spread: England (-1.5)England 48% 1,198.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 1,330 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 550 shares