Polymarket Trader

0x50bd51b198467DCF7d2916e0e340de904568842e-1768011345783

0x50bd51b198467dcf7d2916e0e340de904568842e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.9
Realized PnL: $75.3
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.38
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $16.09
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $16.19
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02
Potential profit: $8.02
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54
Potential profit: $5.54
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 24.19 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Yes 99% 3.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 6.2% 24.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 34% 4.41 shares
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 15% 11.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 30.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 7.2% 14.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.6% 15.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 23.07 shares