Polymarket Trader

0x50c4eCd343Ed6752372C708D76c3dBae05bdd98E-1767838878970

0x50c4ecd343ed6752372c708d76c3dbae05bdd98e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.2
Realized PnL: $177.66
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.16

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.34

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 39% 5.13 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 38% 7.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 28% 7.49 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

No 9.9% 10 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

No 16.6% 10 shares
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?

Yes 46% 9 shares
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?

Yes 15% 26 shares
Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Yes 13% 30 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Vitality 54% 7.33 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Vitality 54% 5 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 33% 10 shares