old2017

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $28.01
Potential payout: $83.61
Potential profit: $55.6
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $20.62
Potential payout: $68.74
Potential profit: $48.11
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $23.1
Potential payout: $66.97
Potential profit: $43.87
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $65.01
Potential profit: $50.71
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $19.16
Potential payout: $58.96
Potential profit: $39.8
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $13.48
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $41.53
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $18.07
Potential payout: $50.89
Potential profit: $32.82
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.98
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$25.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $38.74
Potential payout: $47.13
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $40.56
Potential payout: $46.89
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $29.67
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $16.33
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $45.01
Potential profit: $44.92
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$33.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $13.72
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $31.27
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $37.89
Potential payout: $38.28
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $34.14
Potential payout: $35.02
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $32.38
Potential payout: $35.01
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $32.03
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $28.18
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $6.82
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $33.48
Potential profit: $27.62
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$23.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $13.01
Potential payout: $32.52
Potential profit: $19.51
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $30.12
Potential profit: $22.14
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.99

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $42.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $15.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $12.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 18?