Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $29.7
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Polymarket Trader
mentapol
0x50c86e71b7ac27dea7e12d6ad8763c6a9ed7fa2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $401.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $921.71
- Potential profit
- $921.25
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$331.44
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $478.58
- Potential payout
- $540.77
- Potential profit
- $62.19
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $160.51
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $35.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $264.75
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $226.19
- Potential payout
- $228.48
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.19
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.7
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185.3
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $158.96
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $80.96
- Potential payout
- $126.5
- Potential profit
- $45.54
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$34.04
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $118.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $36.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $23.1
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$17.4
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $44.4
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$38.04
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $49.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $51.89
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $28.89
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $18.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.04
Yes position
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.88
Yes position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.02
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.01
No position
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 178.57 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?No 99.1% 120 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 36.7% 878.08 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 86% 60 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 89.1% 130 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99% 121.25 shares
- Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No 99.8% 40 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 84% 40 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 82.5% 179.99 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 95% 60 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 97.2% 60 shares
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 85% 60 shares