Polymarket Trader

0xb44b19b7b

0x50ca9cbd13f16b7a8725354476f1433c431dac03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.52
Realized PnL: $93.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $50.06
Potential payout: $56.56
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $5.22

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$7

Yibing Wu position

Lincoln: Christian Langmo vs Yibing Wu

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $13.66
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.65

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.28
Potential profit: $12.28
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Phoenix Mercury position

Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16
Potential profit: $8.16
User PnL: -$4

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $7.32
User PnL: -$2

Trevor Svajda position

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.18

Washington Nationals position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $6.32
User PnL: -$6

American League position

MLB All-Star Game

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $4.66
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Under position

Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Celtics position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Jazz position

Warriors vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Rockets position

76ers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Washington Mystics position

Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Suns

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Thunder position

Celtics vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Kings position

Warriors vs. Kings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Lakers position

Suns vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Magic

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Clippers position

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MLB All-Star Game

American League 88% 4.66 shares
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajda

Trevor Svajda 77.5% 6.45 shares
Lincoln: Christian Langmo vs Yibing Wu

Yibing Wu 87.9% 13.66 shares
ITF Luan: Jiho Shin vs Maria Kalyakina

Maria Kalyakina 94.5% 8.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broady

Aleksandar Vukic 80.3% 7.48 shares
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Yes 94% 10.64 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 89% 22.47 shares
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5

Over 93% 5.38 shares
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx

Phoenix Mercury 49% 8.16 shares
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5

Under 74% 21.62 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

Under 90% 6.67 shares