Polymarket Trader

pelasti

@CaliBTC_

0x50d3833a3eebc6c8f5ee9af80a6ad3162c1cbad4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $135.2
Realized PnL: $3.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Louisville Cardinals position

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$81.98

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $13.33K
Potential profit: $13.31K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.75K
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$787.5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.89

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $79.17
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$20.83

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $29.93
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $9.93

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$30.9

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $978.69
Potential profit: $978.69
User PnL: -$54.72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$240

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586
Potential profit: $586
User PnL: -$439.5

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.36
Potential profit: $555.36
User PnL: -$66.64

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.44
Potential profit: $548.44
User PnL: -$243.46

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.5
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440.45
Potential profit: $440.45
User PnL: -$299.51

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.02
Potential profit: $400.02
User PnL: -$200.01

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $400.01
User PnL: -$4.01

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$178

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $905.14

No position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.07

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.31

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.02

Yes position

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $47.6

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $44.1

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Under position

Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.38

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.93

Under position

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.02

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Under position

Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 51.6% 200.28 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 53.1% 9.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 21?

Yes 55% 30.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?

No 68% 15.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?

No 61% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 92% 20 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 16?

Up 53% 172 shares
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 48% 25.35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 50% 121.05 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

No 18.9% 513.39 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 49% 10 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares