Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $109.74
- Potential profit
- $109.46
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Polymarket Trader
alpha4-4
0x50e11af3a14c8f0a54d3a4f1a807134317bdc79c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.27
- Realized PnL
- $251.5
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.41
- Potential profit
- $74.41
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.45
- Potential profit
- $61.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.55
- Potential profit
- $47.55
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.1
- Potential profit
- $36.1
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $39.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?Yes 88.1% 62.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?No 99.4% 30.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?No 16.3% 30.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?Yes 17.9% 28.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?Yes 4.6% 109.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?Yes 29.2% 34.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?Yes 99.8% 20.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?Yes 73% 20.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 6.6% 73.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?Yes 54.5% 35.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 27.2% 73.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?Yes 56% 8.93 shares