WhateverDude

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $493.03
Potential payout: $9.86K
Potential profit: $9.37K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.51K

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.42K
Potential profit: $9.42K
User PnL: -$3.5K

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $458.33
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $7.88K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$541.66

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $6.08K
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$146.77

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $579.62
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $5.52K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$420.38

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$562.49

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.01K
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $575.69
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $124.84
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.38K

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $493.31
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.51K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $524.33
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$1.48K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $64.62
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$935.38

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $986.69
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $90.55

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: $284.1

Marcus Buchecha position

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $854.41
Potential profit: $854.41
User PnL: -$495.56

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.89
Potential profit: $78.89
User PnL: -$37.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

FC Barcelona position

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06K

Mike Malott position

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6K

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1K

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

Yes position

Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Over position

Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Manchester City FC position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Tennessee Volunteers position

Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Carlos Ulberg position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Cub Swanson position

UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.69

Under position

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666.67

Mateusz Gamrot position

UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)