0x50e549c7e9d31e7Fc3997d833bB1FF631850a3a5-1777058770312

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $644.83
Potential profit: $644.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $82.68
Potential profit: $82.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $74.51
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $49.76
Potential profit: $49.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.68
Potential profit: $38.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.78
Potential profit: $33.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.28
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.88
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.72
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.72
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.49

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $36.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET