Polymarket Trader

as-

0x50f1f8f879b4ae74bcd9f9c16c743d144f023f78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.7
Realized PnL: $18.3
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.62
Potential profit: $258.62
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Ends May 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $73.7
Potential payout: $213.68
Potential profit: $139.98
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.19
Potential profit: $106.19
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $11.42
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.3%
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.89

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Yes 44.9% 119.07 shares
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Yes 23% 94.61 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 258.62 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 37% 8.41 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.1% 36.14 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 36% 6.67 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 27.77 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 59% 36.29 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

7.9% 134.53 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22?

12.8% 78.12 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 99.9% 21.2 shares