BufferHarvest

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $253.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $161.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $895
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $66.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$34.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.5
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$29.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$38.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $30.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $969.5
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $245
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $755
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $206.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$32.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$38.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $775
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $186.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.5
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$14.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$45.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $162.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $49.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$14.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?