Polymarket Trader

mvp74

0x50f4e56a862c248f66690a2cfea33e7784375e6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $7.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $12.71K
Potential profit: $11.29K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $16.47

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.8K
User PnL: -$78.78

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$151

Yes position

Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$104.89

Yes position

Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557.69
Potential profit: $557.69
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $487.8
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $995.79

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $832.43

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.1

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.11

No position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.54

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.97

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.24

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $242.59

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.6

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.11

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.69

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.03

No position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.17

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $92.26

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.28

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.14

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.09

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.78

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.95

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.13

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 9.8% 50 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 9.8% 40 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 9.5% 90 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 9.3% 250 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 8.9% 50 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 8.9% 50 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 8.9% 50 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 8.9% 120 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 8.3% 140 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 43% 93.02 shares