Polymarket Trader

john-brown

0x50ff227d2c111b83bba2765658ebe8ea658de0b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.36K
Realized PnL: $17.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $3.42K
Potential payout: $16.65K
Potential profit: $13.23K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$1.21K

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $65.85
Potential payout: $7.75K
Potential profit: $7.68K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$88.33

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $696.87
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $251.62

No position

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $130.05
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $259.32

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $627.31
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$233.34

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $165.57
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $66.92

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $86.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $200.81

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $240.22
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $151
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $37.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.29

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.84

Yes position

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.18

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.05

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.61

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.13

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.75

No position

Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.51

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.78

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.23

No position

Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.53

Yes position

Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.66

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.8

No position

Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.37

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.52

No position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.34

No position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 400 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 50% 109 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 49% 100 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 49% 100 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 48% 50 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 47% 130 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 46% 25 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 45% 25 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 44% 0.77 shares
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes 44% 12 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 11.2% 2,000 shares
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

No 92% 50 shares