No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.44K
- Potential profit
- $8.44K
- User PnL
- -$6.73K
Polymarket Trader
testament-availability-ocean-centaur
0x5106425b8eaae5b5c494377197ab9daa1af52bac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.87K
- Realized PnL
- $5.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $855.28
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $945.31
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$407.71
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $417.13
- Potential payout
- $731.94
- Potential profit
- $314.81
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $33.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$420
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $423.91
- Potential payout
- $490.07
- Potential profit
- $66.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $26.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.2%
- Current value
- $45.23
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $104.78
- Multiplier
- 3.32x
- User PnL
- -$47.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $18.53
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $131.48
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$44.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $44.92
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $33.2
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $34.13
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $13.73
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $4.58
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.48
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.36
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.58
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.57
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $123.36
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $104.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $43.71
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $39.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $15.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 2.2% 1,684.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 21.7% 1,013.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70.5% 287.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.6% 4,514.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 4,778.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 85.6% 408.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 79% 452.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.5% 767.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No 87% 97 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 90% 48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No 72% 435.95 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 83.73 shares