Yes position
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $250K
- Potential profit
- $249.88K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$125
Polymarket Trader
Logan.
0x510904c9a58f5c5ad799a1b44947077564175e9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.76K
- Realized PnL
- $504.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.8K
- Potential profit
- $127.8K
- User PnL
- -$10.34K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.61K
- Potential profit
- $76.61K
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $4.13K
- Potential payout
- $56.13K
- Potential profit
- $52K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.7%
- Current value
- $24.74K
- Potential payout
- $48.79K
- Potential profit
- $24.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- $7.84K
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $396.79
- Potential payout
- $46.68K
- Potential profit
- $46.28K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.31K
- Potential profit
- $21.31K
- User PnL
- -$980.48
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $443.81
- Potential payout
- $18.11K
- Potential profit
- $17.67K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $194.81
- Potential payout
- $15.59K
- Potential profit
- $15.39K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $73.89
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $422.03
- Potential payout
- $13.19K
- Potential profit
- $12.77K
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$77.02
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $172.04
- Potential payout
- $11.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.93K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$867.67
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $89.97
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $54.05
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $68.8
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.52K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $32.88
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $100.56
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.48K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $64.63
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $89.97
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $54.05
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $79.39
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.51K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $43.46
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $79.39
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.51K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $43.46
Yes position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $89.97
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $54.05
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $79.39
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.51K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $43.46
Yes position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $100.56
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.48K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $64.63
Yes position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $68.8
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.52K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $32.88
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $89.97
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $54.05
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $132.31
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.45K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $96.39
Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $79.39
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $10.51K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $43.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.59K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.5K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.61K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.09K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.34K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.74K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.72K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.88K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.01K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.04K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.58K
No position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51K
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.62K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36K
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 12% 137.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 26.3% 107.88 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 26% 1,533.73 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 38.1% 1,163.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 12.1% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 15.9% 2,820.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 14.4% 1,469.3 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 67% 30.31 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 62% 122.64 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 77% 139.76 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 73% 12.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 49.9% 252 shares